Using Poisson Distribution to Forecast the Next Earthquake

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  • The Size and Duration of the Sumatra-Andaman Earthquake
  • Earthquakes expose limits of scientific predictions

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  • For precise prediction of the earthquake magnitude using only the P d value, the TNEO model derives the relation equation between P d and the magnitude, considering the noise present in each measured seismic data. The optimal solution is obtained from the TNEO model based objective function.
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  • Earthquakes as three stage processes | Geophysical Journal

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Earthquakes: prediction, forecasting and mitigation

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